The Hungarian Gran Prix takes place on Sunday 30th July and our F1 expert is expecting big things from Valtteri Bottas

Hamilton looks like the one to beat at the Hungarian Grand Prix this weekend, however at 8/11 he doesn’t offer that much value so I’ve gone in search of some more attractive prices for this weekend’s race.

Are Mercedes once again the team to beat?

Lewis Hamilton loves it around the Hungaroring, having won there five times in the last six years and Lewis’ dominant display at Silverstone reminded fans that he is by no means done with this year’s Championship battle.

His teammate, Valtteri Bottas, has produced a few standout performances of late also. In his last 4 races, he has come 2nd 3 times and his dominance in Austria led him to victory. The Finn has also clearly not given up in his quest for his 1st World Championship.

Ferrari, on the other hand, have seen a dip in form which has lead to Sebastian Vettel’s Championship lead eroding to just a solitary point, with the Italian team 55 points adrift of Mercedes in the Constructors Championship.

This weekend’s race could well be a barometer for the Championship going forward, and I’d be surprised to see anything other than a Silver Arrow driver atop the podium.

A Renault resurgence

Despite losing Jolyon Palmer to hydraulic failure before the start of the race at Silverstone, there were some positives to come from Renault’s race weekend. The team showed that there was some reasonable pace in the car in qualifying and, in Niko Hulkenburg’s case, during the race.

Jolyon Palmer is still yet to score a point this season, however he’s said he’s “burnt the unlucky underpants” and so perhaps the tide will turn for the Brit. Hulkenburg’s price of 8/13 for a points finish shows there’s confidence in the machinery, and so it may be worth taking a risk on Palmer (5/2) to get into the points to extract a bit more value.

A war of attrition

The average number of classified finishers so far this season is 14.7 per race. However, in the last two races this number has been considerably higher; we saw 17 finishers in Britain and 16 in Austria. We are offering 5/2 that there will be over 16.5 finishers in this season’s race, and since last year’s race saw just the one retirement, when Jenson Button developed an oil leak, this could well be great value.

NB. this line does not leave much room for manoeuvre, and so the over 15.5 market at 21/20 could offer a safer option.

Steve’s tips for the Hungarian GP:

Valtteri Bottas to win (Each Way) @ 9/2
Jolyon Palmer Points Finish @ 5/2
Number of Classified Drivers Over 16.5 @ 5/2

Action gets underway from the Hungaroring with FP1 starting at 9am Friday morning live on Sky Sports F1, qualifying starting at 1pm on Saturday and the race taking place on Sunday at 1pm.

Odds are correct at the time of posting

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