We come off the back of two winners, 11/4 and 8/11, out of three picks in last week’s Belgian Grand Prix, so we go again looking for some value bets at the Italian Grand Prix on Sunday.

Vettel to emulate previous success?

The Tifosi will be expecting a win from Ferrari having failed to register a win on home soil since 2010. The Monza circuit is well suited to the opposition Mercedes, however the Ferrari of Sebastian Vettel showed in Belgium that there’s plenty of pace in the red Machine. He got his maiden win at Monza back in 2008, and will be looking to emulate that success as he pushes for his 5th World Championship.

What About Lewis?

Lewis Hamilton closed the gap to Vettel to just seven points after his victory last weekend, and with Mercedes having managed a 1-2 finish in 2 of the last 3 Italian Grand Prix, it could be difficult to oppose them this weekend. That said, however, at the race in Belgium the power unit in the Silver Arrows reportedly consumed 1.2 litres of oil; should it do this in Monza it would be in breach of the new FIA ruling stating every engine can only consume a maximum of 0.9 litres. This could mean a small drop in performance for the Mercedes power unit, leaving the door open for a result the Tifosi will get excited about and the Brit with only a lower position on the podium.

Who Will Be Fastest?

Daniel Ricciardo has had an impressive first half of the season, however despite fining a podium in Belgium will struggle to replicate that this weekend as he’s expecting a grid penalty. In last season’s race, he came tantalisingly close to getting the fastest lap, just pipped at the post by Fernando Alonso. In this year’s instalment, he could well go one better.

Kimi Raikkonen was just 7 seconds behind his teammate last season, and would likely have made the podium at Spa out if it was not for a questionable penalty he received for not lifting enough under double waved yellows. Kimi will want to put this bad luck behind him and get back to collecting a good points hall as soon as possible.

 

BetVictor’s Tips

 

Sebastian Vettel to win @ 3/1

Daniel Ricciardo fastest lap @ 14/1

Kimi Raikkonen podium finish @ 6/4

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Odds are correct at the time of posting

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