Bayern Munich may have been crowned champions in midweek but with two rounds to go, the race for runners up, top four, and to avoid automatic relegation are still to be decided as we have another interesting set of Bundesliga fixtures to look over.
Borussia Dortmund +1 handicap
RB Leipzig v Borussia Dortmund
Without wanting to sound like a broken record, but how many times will Leipzig put fans and backers through the agony of conceding once more late on this season? After holding a seemingly cosy 2-0 lead over relegation-threatened Dusseldorf on Wednesday, they somehow contrived to draw 2-2, conceding twice in the last five minutes and missed a great chance of closing the gap on second-placed Dortmund to just a single point after their shock home loss to Mainz. Incredibly the hosts still remain in the hunt as they now face Dortmund in the match of the day in Germany.
The equation is simple for Leipzig, as realistically they must win this and probably in Augsburg next Saturday; but even then, the runners up spot may well be settled on goal difference. Timo Werner may be Chelsea bound but he scored again in midweek and will need one last big effort to help his teammates finish second. Dortmund’s midweek loss was arguably one of the strangest results since the resumption, albeit visitors Mainz were desperate for points to avoid the drop. Borussia had so much possession and sixteen shots but Mainz were left to celebrate what should now be survival with some clinical good old fashioned smash ‘n’ grab.
We just think Leipzig have left it too late to stake their claim and will rue those missed points dropped lately. Dortmund will surely look to bounce back and avoiding defeat will be their priority.
Leverkusen to win and both teams to score
Hertha Berlin v Bayer Leverkusen
The race for the top four has been a straight battle between Leverkusen and Monchengladbach for some time and the pair are separated by just a single point. Bayer have the advantage and victories in both final games will secure a Champions League place. They were comfortable 3-1 midweek winners over Koln but have struggled for consistency, so whether they can produce three straight wins is slightly worrying for their fans.
Hertha are coasting in mid-table and with only pride left on the table, may prove ideal opponents. They have lost their last three games and ironically face Gladbach next week, so they will play a pivotal role in the top four race.
The match prices reflect Leverkusen’s need to win and the submarkets provide more value. Berlin have scored in eight of their last nine top-flight matches and continue to keep opposition goalkeepers busy.
M'gladbach to win to nil
Paderborn v Borussia Monchengladbach
Gladbach will fancy their chances of keeping the pressure on Leverkusen as they visit lowly Paderborn who are now confirmed to finish bottom of the table. Four wins and the lowest scorers in the section easily explain why they will be relegated and Borussia will hope they roll over in this one.
Gladbach were impressive 3-0 winners over Wolfsburg on Tuesday when they dominated from the start and they should be able to improve their goal difference. The visitors are very short to collect maximum points but in the hope they will look to win and not concede, that makes the odds much more appealing.
Wolfsburg to win and both teams to score
Schalke v Wolfsburg
Just a single point separates three teams chasing sixth position and the final European place. Wolfsburg are clinging on to the prize at present but they folded tamely at Gladbach last time out and with only one point taken from six, they may have blown their chance. They now travel to Schalke who made it fourteen games without a win on Wednesday, so in theory will be confident of winning. Wolfsburg face champions Bayern Munich on the final day, so they have a difficult last two fixtures and wont want to be the hosts’ first victims after their terrible run of form.
Schalke just want the season to end to stop their agony and it’s impossible to fathom why they have collapsed so badly. Results have slightly improved with two draws in those last three matches and they did manage to score on each occasion too. We loath to back the favourites at odds on but hope both teams can at least score to inflate those odds on an away success.
Hoffenheim to win
Hoffenheim v Union Berlin
Hoffenheim have joined Wolfsburg on 46 points but an inferior goal difference means they will need more points to finish above that rival. They were impressive 3-1 winners in Augsburg during midweek and were helped that the hosts were safe from relegation and below par. This is now a must-win, especially as they visit second-placed Dortmund next week.
Union were delighted to secure their place next season in the top flight after a battle to avoid the drop. Two successive victories mean they have hit form at just the right time but with the job done, we expect them to take the foot off the pedal now. Again the match prices reflect the teams’ state of mind but we’re happy to confidently predict a home win so the hosts can take their fight to the final day.
Freiburg +2 handicap
Bayern Munich v Freiburg
Freiburg have sneaked into the race to nick sixth and are now just a point behind their two rivals. Seven points from nine has put them in the shakeup although they now travel to champions Munich. The visitors are difficult to beat and have secured some notable results recently. They beat high-flying Gladbach and took a point at Leipzig and even in defeat, they have only been beaten by a one-goal advantage once during their last nine outings.
Bayern were made to fight hard to secure an eighth successive title and it’s surprising they now hold a ten-point cushion at the summit, considering how close most of their campaign has been. However, they have pulled clear since the resumption and been extremely clinical. With the champagne still flowing in Munich, it does give Freiburg hope and we have enjoyed success opposing the champions on the handicap recently and see no reason to abandon that tactic again now.
Bayern Munich have now won 2️⃣9️⃣ league titles since the Bundesliga was formed in 1963! pic.twitter.com/U9upTxTJUn
— Goal (@goal) June 16, 2020
Dusseldorf to win
Fortuna Dusseldorf v Augsburg
Dusseldorf and Bremen have been involved in a great battle at the foot as they look to avoid automatic relegation. Two go down directly with third-bottom having a playoff with an opponent from the second tier, so there is a strong incentive to make that playoff of course. Fortuna hold a point advantage and came from two goals down to take a huge point in the final five minutes of their draw in Leipzig on Wednesday. That goal may well prove the most vital of the season and they now host Augsburg who are safe after flirting with the drop themselves.
The hosts have been in relatively good form considering their league position, with only two defeats in seven since the return and those being against the top two. They have been rewarded for some all action and never give up displays and will fancy their chances back on home soil to put pressure on Werder.
Augsburg were beaten 3-1 at home against Hoffenheim and it’s hard to envisage they will be overly concerned with the final two games. With momentum now with Fortuna, we expect them to secure the points and take the relegation outcome to next week.
Match to end in a draw
Mainz v Werder Bremen
Mainz hold a five-point advantage over the pair at the foot and mathematically need a point to officially celebrate survival. They produced one of the shocks of the season when beating Dortmund in their own back yard 2-0 in midweek and know the pressure is on Werder in this clash. Dusseldorf and Bremen both have thoughts of the great escape themselves and would have been astonished to find Mainz had won in Dortmund. The hosts have now won two of their last three but may revert to caution rather than all-out attack here.
Bremen have been impressive on the road and are looking for a fourth straight success. They don’t look like a team stuck at the bottom but may have left their charge a little too late. Expect the visitors to come out all guns blazing but Mainz are capable of repelling and securing the point they need.
Frankfurt to win
Koln v Eintracht Frankfurt
Koln are now safe despite a poor run that has seen them fail to win during their last eight games. They have picked up just three points from 24 and will look to rebuild during the summer.
Frankfurt are in mid-table, so this match is the only one without meaning this weekend. The visitors have won two on the bounce and three from four on the road, so they are one of the form teams at present. They have suffered too many defeats during the early part of their campaign and will look to challenge for top six next season no doubt. There can only be one option on current form here of course.