Premier League Golden Boot 2017/18: Who Will Be Top Scorer?

The Premier League season is just around the corner – and we’ve taken a look at the main contenders for the accolade of top scorer.

Last season, the competition for top scorer went right down to the wire, lasting longer than the title race itself.

For a while it looked like Romelu Lukaku would come away with the honour, but Harry Kane made a mockery of the odds – the Englishman smashed in 7 goals in the last 2 games of the season to claim the prize and finish with an impressive 29 goals in 30 appearances.

Will it be a hat-trick of top scorer honours for ‘King Kane’ or will someone else finish on top?

If there’s one main argument as to why Harry Kane may struggle to score 25+ Premier League goals for the third straight season, it’s the ‘Wembley factor.’ Spurs struggled when playing in the national stadium in the Champions League and Europa League last season.

Other than this, Kane looks all set to be as prolific as he has been in the last few campaigns. He is improving as a player every week, and Spurs have not made any major changes to their squad – which means he won’t have to get used to new teammates style of play or a new formation.

10/3 is a great price for him to finish as top scorer – and there may be even better value in backing him a couple of months into the season, as he usually starts off the season quietly and really hits form come November time.

As mentioned earlier, Romelu Lukaku led the Premier League scoring charts for large parts of last season. Manchester United dropped a lot of points at Old Trafford last year due to their forwards missing chances against lower-ranked team – the kind of games which helped Lukaku rack up most of his strikes last season.

So, a perfect fit then? On paper, yes. I think Lukaku may take some time getting used to a new manager, different team-mates and the pressure of playing in front of 76,000 every week. The step up is a big one and I feel the big Belgian will have a season of ups and downs. Also, let’s not forget that 9th-placed Bournemouth scored more league goals than United did last season. Having said that, 9/2 still looks very appealing for the main striker in a United side who will create a hatful of chances and surely enjoy a better home record this time around.

In at third fav 7/1 comes Sergio Aguero. A world-class striker who has the second best goals per minute ratio in Premier League history. His record speaks for itself – but how often will he play? The Argentine started just over half (20) of City’s games last season. He is an injury-prone player and despite seeming to be an indisputable starter before last season, Pep Guardiola wasn’t afraid to leave him out of the team from time to time.

The 7/1 price takes that into consideration though, and with the reinforcements that City have made in the shape of Bernado Silva, as well as attacking full-backs Benjamin Mendy and Kyle Walker, it wouldn’t be a surprise to see City hitting the 95+ goal mark in the league, and Aguero is surely going to have a major contribution to that.

Aguero’s teammate Gabriel Jesus comes in next at 9/1 . The Brazilian starlet has made a big impact in England since his debut in January, scoring 7 goals and providing 4 assists in just 10 appearances. He is a natural finisher with brilliant movement, but I feel it may be too early for him to claim the Golden Boot, especially as Guardiola is a fan of rotation and so he may not start every game.

New Chelsea recruit Alvaro Morata is also 9s to finish as the league’s top scorer. He had a better goals-per-minute ratio than any other Real Madrid player last season, finding the back of the net once every 89.3 minutes. Chelsea’s style should suit the Spaniard, and there’ll be plenty of chances created for him on the counter attack with the speed and creativity of Hazard, Willian and Pedro on the wing. The argument against would be that Morata is yet to score 15+ league goals in a single season. Having said that, this is likely to be the first time he is the main striker at a club and so the 9/1 price is hard to ignore.

Another Premier League newbie, Alexandre Lacazette, comes in at 10/1 . The Frenchman netted at least 21 league goals in each of the last 3 seasons for Lyon in Ligue 1 – an impressive statistic. He is an expert penalty taker, and is also lightning quick with good reactions and instinct. Arsenal’s problem has long been the failure to convert the chances that they make, so could Lacazette be the tonic for this? He will need time to adapt to the pace and physicality of the Premier League, but I wouldn’t be at all surprised to see him hit the 20 mark at least.

You can place your bets on the PL Top Scorer 17-18 market here. We have more than 20 other Premier League specials on site ahead of the new season which can be found here.

*Odds were correct at time of publishing the article

Nadim Lilani

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I like trequartistas and I believe that football was invented before 1992. Also very good at losing money on non-league football.

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