A brilliant weekend of racing has shaken up the biggest markets for the Flat season. Starting off, we had a big change to the Derby market thanks to the Lingfield trial race on Friday.
Won last year by Antony Van Dyke, who went on to claim the race at Epsom, it is a trial that still holds some relevance to the main race. English King for Ed Walker was very taking in the style of how he claimed victory.
I remain unsure at the strength of the trial but it is impossible to knock his effort in winning. My first reflection was perhaps he could be more of a St Leger horse but he sits as second favourite for the most important race in the Flat calendar.
— At The Races (@AtTheRaces) June 5, 2020
Our ante post favourite at time of writing is Kameko. A fine winner of the 2000 Guineas in good style on Saturday, he is now as short as 7/2 for the race.
His page wouldn’t scream a test like the Derby is ideal but it is hard to argue with the manor of his win. Five of the last 18 winners ran in the 2000 Guineas before contesting the race, two of which also won the first classic of the season.
His record-breaking time is another strong factor in why punters were so impressed with Andrew Balding’s horse.
🌬️ THE FASTEST 2000 GUINEAS WINNER EVER!
— Qatar Racing (@Qatar_Racing) June 6, 2020
For all both were impressive, I can’t help but feel the markets and punters have perhaps overreacted to these early trials which means we may have some value to pick out before the Irish trial is run today at Leopardstown.
The Derrinstown has produced some nice winners in the past and this season has cut up to just six runners. Two at the front of the market head the betting and are of most interest as perspective type to run in the Derby next month. Both trained by Aidan O Brien who has won a total of 7 Derby’s, Russian Emperor is going to be my pick of the pair to back ante-post at 33/1 for the race in July.
By Galileo, this colt was third on debut behind Iberia who reopposes today. He benefited from getting a run in on the first day of the flat season at Naas where he needed every yard of the one-mile trip to get up. That was on vastly different ground but given he has been declared on much quicker over further today, I can imagine connections have little concerns with that.
At 33/1, I am willing to speculate that a small each-way ante-post play is the best way to go here, prior to Russian Emperor’s second start of the season.
Russian Emperor (Galileo) is out of a four-time G1 winner and finishes with quite a rattle at @NaasRacecourse.
This colt has plenty of Classic entries and looks a nice one for @Ballydoyle
— Racing TV (@RacingTV) March 23, 2020