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Day two of the Cheltenham November meeting and we have the highlight of the weekend the Paddy Power Gold Cup. Sam Boswell has two suggestions to consider for the race and a couple of other runners he likes the look of on the card.

Fact Of The Matter Each Way

2m4f (2m4f44y) (Old) Paddy Power Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (GBB Race) (Class 1) (4yo+)

BetVictor ambassador Jamie Snowden has a great chance of another place with his old hand Fact Of the Matter. A previous winner at Cheltenham in a cross-country race, he was given a cracking ride by a young Will Featherstone last time out in an amateur race here to finish a cracking second. Whilst the horse isn’t getting any younger, a mark of 112 looks very fair when you consider he’s won off 135 in the past. Snowden has been in fine form, and I think the likely going should be right up his street. To my eye, he is a very fair each-way price in a competitive handicap chase.

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Lalor to win | Nietzsche Each Way

2m4f (2m4f44y) (Old) Paddy Power Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (GBB Race) (Class 1) (4yo+)

Looking at a few of the recent trends of the race I think three stats stand out.

-Ideally, you want a horse to carry 11-0 or less. Only two horses in the last 13 renewals have carried more than that to victory.

-Always Respect Paul Nicholls runners in the race.

-Previous Cheltenham Winners have a great record in the race with 13 of the last 19 having won at the track before.

Considering those recent trends do somewhat narrow the field a bit, I have two suggestions for the race. Lalor, of the Nicholls pair, is the most tempting for me. The move to Nicholls looks an inspired choice from connections and he won a novice chase on his only start on the old track here. To win this off 149 would have to defy the general trend of horses lower down the handicap doing well in this race but in the champion, trainers care I think we could see something special. My alternative suggestion will be to play Nietzsche each way, given a pipe opener on the flat at Catterick last month his mark of 133 looks very tempting. He is sure to be suited by the unseasonal ground which is quicker than previous renewals of the race.

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Whisky Express each way

2m½f (2m87y) (Old) Stirrups Restaurant And Cocktail Bar Evesham Mares' Open National Hunt Flat Race (Listed Race) (GBB) (Class 1) (4-6yo)

7/1

Having once owned a small share in a horse that was placed in this race many years ago, this event holds a special place in my heart. It also seems to be a key feature to Harry Fry’s thinking having claimed the race in 2014 with the smart mare Bitofapuzzle and last year with Ishkhara Lady. This year he sends five-year-old Whisky Express who has been given time since winning a low-key race at Taunton. I am keen on the fact Fry has given her time and I think the five-year-old could just have the edge on a few of the younger types in this race.

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Odds are correct at the time of posting

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