We have reached NFL week seven and Paul Highham is back with his picks from the RedZone action.
Week Seven in the NFL is here already and again we’ve got some fantastic match-ups to bring you with some mouth-watering clashes in the 6pm Red Zone slots.
The Titans knocked off the Bills last week and now get another AFC big dog in the Chiefs to try and tame in Nashville, while the Green Bay Packers will fancy their chances of continuing on their winning run as they host the Football Team from Washington.
After playing in England in their last game, the New York Jets now go to New England to continue their rivalry with the Patriots while the Miami Dolphins are thrown right back into action upon their return from London as they host the Falcons.
Let’s see what the best bets are for the NFL Red Zone games – along with our pick of the TD scorers with our special Red Zone Acca.
Kansas City Chiefs @ Tennessee Titans
The Titans beat the Buffalo Bills last week and now get the other big AFC favourite in Nashville as the Kansas City Chiefs roll in to town as 4.5-point favourites to pick up where they left off in the second half against Washington.
Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs offence was still sloppy with turnovers last week, nobody has turned the ball over more than KC, but they looked to have clicked when scoring three TDs to win the game – showing they can still put points up quickly.
With Mahomes and his league-leading 18 passing TDs and Tennessee’s running back Derrick Henry having a monster start to the season, this is pegged as the top scoring game of the week with both defences just looking to try and slow down the offensive firepower of the opposition.
Henry has been unplayable of late, with five straight 100-yard games and three TDs in each of the last two games. His early season totals of 783 yards and 10 TDs is off the charts – and only if Chris Jones returns for the Chiefs will they have any chance of limiting his production somewhat, as the Chiefs defence has been rotten.
Don’t sleep on Titans QB Ryan Tannehill being able to get things done but the home side’s plan will be to feed Henry often and get him to grind the Chiefs into submission – while also keeping Mahomes off the field in the process.
It’s a tough match-up for KC but if they can finally cut out those mistakes then they’ll have every chance of taking advantage of injuries to the Titans’ secondary to get a much-needed win. They’re 4-13 against the spread in the last 17 games though due to them winning a lot of close games even when they’re successful.
A better route to profit is via the performance of both Henry and Chiefs running back Darrel Williams, who was excellent last week as KC looked to lean on the run a bit more to find some balance – they can both find the end zone here.
Best bet: Derrick Henry and Darrel Williams to score TDs at 12/5
— NFL (@NFL) October 19, 2021
Washington Football Team @ Green Bay Packers
It’s now five wins in a row for Aaron Rodgers and the Packers and they’re big home favourites against Washington, but they’ll have to keep their minds on this seemingly easier task with trips to Arizona and Kansas City coming up next.
Focus shouldn’t be a problem for MVP Rodgers and head coach Matt LeFleur, who has the NFL’s best home record since taking charge in 2019 with Green Bay 16-2 under him at Lambeau Field.
Washington have allowed a whopping 186 points this season and Rodgers has thrown 12 touchdowns and just one pick in this five-game stretch, while wide receiver Davante Adams leads the NFL with 668 receiving yards so far – unless the visitors can dial up some kind of pass rush then this looks like a recipe for disaster.
The Packers have been putting away teams recently without having to score too many points – they haven’t gone over 30 in their last three wins, but against this leaky defence at Lambeau it’s the perfect opportunity to flex their offensive muscles.
I’m not so sure they’ll blow Washington away fully but they should win and should hit their own points total with ease.
Best bet: Packers to score over 28.5pts at 37/40
New York Jets @ New England Patriots
After a losing trip to London, the Jets are expected to make another losing trip to New England in the AFC East re-match. The Patriots intercepted rookie QB Zach Wilson four times in a one-sided Week Two victory and are favourites to win again on home soil.
Mac Jones is maturing nicely as Patriots QB and he didn’t do much wrong in their tough overtime loss to Dallas last time out – and he’ll have no fear of facing a Jets defence that hasn’t had an interception in eight games.
New York are huge slow starters and haven’t managed a single point in the first quarter this season – they’ve been outscored 30-0 in the opening 15 minutes and 75-13 in the first half, so you can back the Patriots to get in front with some confidence.
Bill Belichick’s side have hung on in there in tough losses to the Cowboys and Buccaneers but should find life a little more comfortable against a Jets side that still doesn’t look capable of putting a decent full game together.
Running back Damien Harris has scored a touchdown in his last two games and tight end Hunter Henry has seen the end zone in his last three – both should score again in a game the Pats should be winning by a couple of scores.
Best bet: Patriots (-7.5pts) to beat the Jets at 21/20
Atlanta Falcons @ Miami Dolphins
There’s no week off for Miami as the only team that hasn’t opted to take a bye after travelling to London – and maybe it’s a good thing to get right back to work after handing the Jaguars their first win of the season over in the UK.
The Dolphins looked in control for large parts of that game but found a way to let the Jags win it, and that doesn’t bode well against a well-rested Falcons side who did get a week off after their victory in London against the Jets.
The four teams to have played the week after playing in London have gone 2-2, with Miami themselves winning three straight games after playing in the UK back in 2017. And after losing five on the spin they badly need that trick to work again.
Atlanta haven’t been a great team this year (2-3) but they’ve shown enough to be slight favourites for this game with veteran QB Matt Ryan and rookie tight end Kyle Pitts striking up a nice tune in London that should continue in South Florida.
Miami QB Tua Tagovailoa is still dealing with bad ribs and Atlanta will try to hit him early and force more mistakes. It may not be great football in this game but it’s a road win for me.
Best bet: Falcons (-3.5) to beat the Dolphins at 6/5
Hunter Henry, Kyle Pitts & Darrel Williams all to score TDs at 13/1
Patriots tight end Hunter Henry knows exactly where the end zone is, his QB Mac Jones knows exactly where to find him as he has done the last three games, and the Jets are just not a good team at all. It’ll be four in a row for Hunter.
Another tight end that should be in the end zone is Falcons rookie Kyle Pitts, who had his first NFL touchdown in London and now gets a tired Miami side who have just flown back from the UK on Monday having let the Jaguars beat them.
Darrel Williams had his first start for the Chiefs last week and had a strong rushing game with a touchdown. KC have loads of receiving talent but really want to push their run game and Williams is the man to do it.